What is “shadow inventory”?
But I propose a broader definition to include the large swaths of very late stage non-performing loans (notes) that are destined to become REO. These properties are in deep default, often vacant, and may or may not have had the foreclosure process started on them.
Many of the warnings of lurking shadow inventory in the real estate market may have quieted down. Certainly this isn’t because it has gone away, perhaps just more sensational headlines have been needed. Instead of battling other investors in bidding wars for the few properties on the market wouldn’t it be great if you could just dig in and grab some of this shadow inventory?
Banks and the GSEs may be working on new ways to offload the millions of REOs they’re sitting on but this doesn’t mean that they have cracked it yet or that they don’t need help getting rid of them. Renting pools of properties or selling pools of REOs which are leased back to delinquent owners, especially in areas where lenders have been unsuccessful in selling these properties themselves obviously doesn’t sound like a good deal for investors.
Some will snap them up because or the discounts and they don’t know any better but we’re not betting this is a successful recipe in the medium or long run. Even offers to delinquent borrowers of up to $35,000 doesn’t seem to have motivated enough of them to complete short sales. So ultimately there is still a huge amount of shadow inventory out there. It may not be quite as much as some have proposed but it is there and it is big.
This doesn’t mean that investors should be afraid of this shadow inventory. Banks definitely seem to be doing a good job of filtering it through slowly in order to preserve home prices as they don’t want to squash the market and their other assets. In some areas they’ve found a small reprieve in razing properties or donating them.
Shadow Inventory by State
While lenders do not report the status of individual properties in their shadow inventory they do report their aggregate numbers. From there what you need to do is contact the right people at the right banks.
How to Find Shadow Inventory
Still REO inventory needs to be moved and just because it isn’t on the open market yet shouldn’t mean that you can’t profit from it. We all know lenders are swimming in new REOs after last year’s stall and the should be happy for you to take it off their hands.
How can you get your hands on it? Forget asking you cashier at your branch of big brand banks or even calling their loss mitigation departments they aren’t going to be able to help you.
What if you could find out what REO ‘shadow inventory’ some of the smaller regional banks are holding and get direct access to the decision makers who can help you cut a deal? That is exactly what BankProspector helps you do…